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12th February 2016
Benfica vs Porto
This is a big clash on Portuguese championship.
I can´t see Porto holding this Benfica and I believe
Asia did an error overrating Porto as usual with this opening odd, almost a quarter line above what market will pay near to Kickoff, therefore, there is plenty of margins to get in here.

Porto is horrible defending, vs Gil Vicente they conceded 4 clear goal chances and luckily they didn´t concede, yesterday more a couple of goals that resulted in an unexpected defeat and I expect that on this game, at least, they concede a couple of goals too, especially due their needs of going after the result due their fragile situation in respect with the difference of Points to Sporting and now Benfica too.

Is true, we have a dutch bet on the begin of the season with Porto @2.2 and Sporting @7.5 to win the title but their performance becomes disappointing and yesterday night with their defeat vs Arouca, is expectable that Porto will fight just for the Portuguese cup this year and will be very hard to get them fully motivated on the championship, especially losing points on this game, so we will keep with Sporting and hope they win to be profitable at the end.

I expect Porto of Peseiro do not change much to this game and play with less ball possession compared with last years and that should be very nice to see, since the goal opportunities for both sides will increase, however, the levels of efficiency between these two are huge and on such opening game Benfica should have an edge over the North team.

Factor home here is also very important 60K supporters will be with Benfica in this game and with Gaitan back in their form, with Mitroglou and Jonas on an amazing form as they are at the moment, I expect Porto to suffer in this game.

The weakest point of this Benfica is their defense but even with Lisandro very doubtful to this game, is not enough to not trust them. Lindelof did well vs Belenenses and is not inferior to many center backs that Aboubakar faced in the past and always struggled to find good space at the center.

Benfica AH -0.25 @2.05 Pinnacle ( Full stake or 2/10 )
Over 2.25 @2.00 Sbobet ( Half stake or 1/10 )

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